Russell 2000

6:52 am PST. It looks like we are finally done correcting. The IWM shows a completed a-b-c-d-e wave 4 completion. Time to rally! Wow. I am so amazed at how exact prices stayed just in the trendlines. It must be the computers trading?

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Junior gold miners

6:39 am PST. The junior gold miners, GDXJ, have left the gold party early. GDXJ has had a weak rally in comparison to GDX these past weeks, which is telling. The money is leaving gold and treasuries and heading back over to the equities party.

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Closing Thoughts

1:12 pm PST. Trump says the dollar is too strong and UUP cash market went right back down to the 21 sma.

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SPY still holds the triangle, but if the lower trendline goes, it could get ugly.

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The miners ripped higher into the close, along with treasuries and gold. Gold is just about tagging the upper-down trendline from the July high. If gold breaks above that, we have breakout to the upside.

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Banks stocks closed weak as JPM kicks off earnings tomorrow.

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The only encouraging thing I can say about the markets is that I spotted a ton of global stocks buying and prices closed above most of them. That is the only piece of good news I have for SPY. EZU, IEMG, EWT, INDA, EIDO, EWP, and EWT all closed above their prints. IAU saw a 650k print at 12.35 and we closed below.

Treasuries

9:07 am PST. Large 1.435 million block trade at 122.68.

8:04 am PST. TLT’s momentum is slowing down, and it has almost reached my target of $123. I think it is just about done on the upside. We could see a gap fill, and then drop tomorrow.

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Closing Thoughts

1:01 pm PST. There is a possibility that TLT could gap one more time to the upside tomorrow perhaps to $123, but I do not think it will get very far. GDX also looks it could do another high tomorrow, but I still think this is an ending wave.

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The Russell 2000 closed very well, and I have a bullish bias. The financials were able to rally off their lows and I am bullish. SPY held the triangle low and bounced off the lower trendline. It looks constructive.

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