FCX

1:39 pm. We played a bit of ping pong today on FCX to the 15.35 area that I mentioned earlier today. FCX closed above the 4/8 emas today and had a small 200,000 share print at 15.16 that we closed above. It looks interesting.

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Closing Thoughts

12:29 pm PST.

As expected, the miners and gold are selling off into the close. We saw significant negative divergence today as well as a completed five-wave count from the December low in a handful of the mining stocks such as ABX, PAAS, and AEM.

The dollar is catching a bid and could make its way to new highs. The Dow continues to trade in a really tight range possibly waiting for Trump’s inauguration.

Steel stocks had an amazing rally today, in particular X.

Thank you, Marty, for posting your blog update on gold and calling a top for this week. Folks should check Martin Armstrong out at: https://www.ask-socrates.com, and http://www.armstrongeconomics.com for updates on the market.

Companhia Vale do Rio Doce

11:28 am PST.

Goodness VALE. I stopped out at around 7.60 and never decided to wade back in. Hmmm, now, was that the right thing to do? VALE is probably going to retrace a little and continue its march higher. I think this is what FCX and XME have in store, so I better keep alert.

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X doing a major leg up today. It needs to retrace with an a-b-c correction and then it is a buy again. X is going to look like VALE in a few weeks.

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Trade log

8:58 am. Stopped out everything. I am going to wait until the close to see what happens.

8:00 am PST.

I have been scaling out of JNUG, average +.08 or so, and scaling into FAS and shorting the VXX. Lots of negative divergence on GDX. I am now completely out of mining stocks.

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XLF, FCX

6:48 am PST.

I think XLF bottomed here at the open and we are off to new highs this week. Trump’s inauguration is going to rally this market just like his election did.

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Goldman Sachs moved their buying position to 14.83 in the pre-market on FCX, which is exactly where FCX went pre-market. They are also lined up to sell at 15.45. There is a large 500,000 share block to sell FCX at 15.35. I think FCX is going to ping-pong between 14.83 and 15.35 today.

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EWJ, XLF

5:59 am PST. I was thinking EWJ looked overbought over the weekend. It gapped down yesterday. It could find support around $49.50.

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XLF also just about tagged my $22.90 support area yesterday at the close. I think it is a buy this morning.

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California Dreamin

The reason why I still live in earthquake country, otherwise known as California, lol, is because of family, jobs, and the people here. Specifically, I like living in the Silicon Valley. Yes, I realize we have issues with our political system – believe me, I know that first hand, especially when it comes to medical-freedom rights, which is the reason why I almost wanted to move out of California. Yes, taxes are way too high. Yes, we are due for the “big one”. Yes, I have to wake up at 4:30 am in the morning to trade the markets on N.Y. time. But, there is no where else where I feel most comfortable.

There are a lot of interesting people here. I have a friend who started up a new company that has one of the most non-invasive cancer detection technologies in the world – Accuragen: http://www.accuragen.com. My son used to have playdates with one of the kids of a founders of Instacart: https://www.instacart.com, who lives just blocks from us. I have another friend who just organized one of the first ever China-U.S. biotech investment events in the S.F. area with people flying in from all over the country: http://cticcapital.com. There are so many innovative people who live in the area.

We also have electric-car-charging stations even at our local library so when people go to check out a book they can charge their all-electric cars. When I drive around the neighborhood I get to see the cute Google self-driving-test cars. Life is interesting here. I get to see a lot of innovation first hand. Or perhaps it is just inertia.

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This is an electric-car-charging station at our local library.

Here is a picture of Google’s self-driving-test car that I took Tuesday afternoon while driving my daughter to her dance class.

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Closing thoughts

1:01 pm. We closed .01 above the prints on GLD at 115.85 which is normally bullish. It looks like TLT could make one more high and the dollar one more low. I am waiting for the TLT to complete this wave higher with a new high above 123.14 on negative divergence so I can re-short the VXX.

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Silver also had a strong close just above the downtrend line.

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